This will be something of a follow up to my 1st post and hopefully not that long! (who am I kidding...)
Thank you for welcoming me and @Czyszy for nice meme of my post (I will cherish this forever... so till Friday)^^
Lets clear/expand few of your concerns @Aalastein before I go any further.
ad 1. Alright, you are musician, you create a song and own it. Let's pretend for sake of argument that 'I wrote software which creates abstractions from your song and then produces something indistinguishable from your song using those abstractions, and then claim that song as my own, you're not going to care that I technically didn't store your song as a file at a certain point in the middle of the process.' Do you see reasemblence between AI companies and this analogy, when they try to convinced us that all data is 'publicly avaible' (not a public domain!) and those systems are just learning like humans.
Despite we already establish that data retency is a thing but it's easier to take the piracy path and that's why Disney and Universal suing Midjourney based on that premises.
Judge Orrick's statement encapsulates that nicely summarizing what is the underlying cause behind those systems - copyright infringement. (this here is also for the Showrunner AI better case explanation from someone prominent since you've pointed out how insignificient they are)
ad 2. Yes humanity is at fault but why companies that say they want to empower humans are doing something completely opposite. I hear this ringing sensation in a back of my skull, do you?
ad 3. If you want more proofs Reddit can help (reddit search bar in r/programming sub you can type there 'ai' bunch of topics will pop up with mostly negative indications and those with positive rated 0, comments inside explain why)
Cardboardtoaster is just one example but I know that when the 1st image generators came up many professional artist use in that same manner and conviction that it will help them, back than they didn't know where the data came from. But pretty much every pro artist upon new information surfaced, completely change their attitude toward genAI.
There always will be those who want to use something for the sake of it, neglecting all the problems around, but it doesn't mean we need to comply.
Yes porn here is special... personally I don't mind as long as it's made by humans it's work of art, I even solidarise with them especially now when you learn how much pay processors are making their life harder. (ironic that as I type here 2 ai gen porn vid with questionable age, are under judgment, but it seems not for long)
Lets say that when you got mental problems you don't always (barely ever) think logically, the emotions takes hold on you and you can't diagnosed yourself to know you need profesional help (family and friends might not even suspect something is wrong). Chatbots are designed to be 'free terapeuts' yet the hidden cost can be more than you excpect.
You wrote: "I'm not an expert on how AI works..." under the qoute "Good artists copy, great artists steal". Fun fact: creators of AI doesn't know either.
But if you are aware that AI outscales any living human in speed, many times over. It should be clear that something isn't fair play in this race, and this is the part I wanted to talk about today, so thank you for your input, it's not really my job to change your mind but rather to show different point of view and that neutrality in this particular case might outweigh the odds in favor of AI. (I'm not gonna rate your work since you genuinely presented your perspective, I understand this but don't agree, and the shadow of 'how much of AI was used in other works if any' lingers on, so you see where I am going with this. Also you might want to walk in someone elses shose, eg. how would you feel if I would 'help' myself with genAI to get some music and than try to copy it via samples in LMMS?)
OK Lets get now to the thought experiment (yay!) with help of math (boo!).
-"What could happen if Tom and the Crew would let AI on this site"-
Disclaimer: More of a joke but not entirely, also those will be my personal observations since I don't have access to site data.
First thing first, we need to establish some base numbers for submisions that are uploaded, trial from a week should do the trick. (Higher uploads are on weekends so daily wouldn't cut.)
(Please feel free to fix any mistake you spot!)
Movie/games portal:
games- 59
movies- 520
total 579 + lets assume ~15% blamed and deleted (they doesn't seem to appear in obituries) combined
final count ~666 (lets round this up even if it seems like sacrilege) 700 for easier calculations
Audio portal:
music- 878
voice- 20
podcasts- 8
total of 906 so lets go with 900 this time
Art portal: (had to stop at single day [yesterday])
scouted art - 1072 x 7(days) = 7504
not scouted art - have no clue, if I had to guess:
-from extrapolating data from views on my works, comparing that to scouted art,
-less users got access to it so less views,
-lower quality faster to make so more entries per user
I'll go with ~10k
total (will keep 2 numbers just in case I'm super off with 2nd) 7500 (17500)
So on avarage in a single week there happen to be 9100 (19100) submissions.
Mod team from what I've see does great job in deleting spam/ai within hours and changing ratings of inproperiate entries under 24h.
(gonna totally neglect reviews)
First few weeks with AI:
Nothing much happen but everyone seems to notice more shady submissions popping up here and there.
News on the socials starts to circle around and some user start testing out how far they can go.
More low quality submisions spreads all over the portal.
Ai users spreads the news and next wave come.
After a month submissions double.
OK lets stop here, you may ask where all the math went at that point?
Here we go:
To generate image AI need under 1 min. If you think that AI users care about quality more than quantity than I want digits to your dealer.
To generate moving pictures you need something like 2min lets say they are picky and will try 10 and pick 1 so roughly 30min for all that.
To generate sound under min. Again w/e the content might be.
Game all above plus lets say whoal day to put that together on vibe coding.
numbers per week from single user (math here not mathing just pi multiplied by door):
images: 100
moving pictures: 15
sound: 40
games: 2 (lazy week)
total 157 per week
Now multiply this by 500 users
and we got 78,5k submisions per week on top of normal ones.
Who gonna moderate that? Everyday defcon 1
After a while idea emerges to limit submisions per day.
In respons magicly planty new accounts appear.
9,1k (19,1k) from all NG base VS. 78,5k from just 500 AI users per week!
So to increase 'productivity' (like that was the soul goal in art :|) human artist needs to spend more time and ends with less polished art.
It just so happens that I have already done this experiment. In span of 10 weeks 49 daily sketches (50th is my baner and it took more than a week so doesn't really count)
You can see for yourself. What needs to be mentioned, they are close to references. The more it varies the more time I needed to finish it. Exhausting but holly hell how rewarding (:
(1 censored)

I know this math is a bit far-fetched but at the end, under the countles ocean of slop many good things will be drwoned forever. We all have limited amount of time and focus, for new artist to be discovered it will be close to impossible without luck, accounts with already established followers won't be affected in the same way.
Exodus of users from NG is highly possible the new will come for sure but what values will they bring to the table? Would be damn shame if new DeviantFart was born.
So keep creating, solidarize with fellow artist of all mediums and screw AI, let the bots worry about slop! (o;